Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 0.002530 0.002692 0.002865 0.003066 0.003293 0.003546 0.003849
2025-01-26 0.002170 0.002370 0.002595 0.002871 0.003205 0.003604 0.004128
2025-02-02 0.002030 0.002264 0.002539 0.002893 0.003347 0.003929 0.004767
2025-02-09 0.001955 0.002220 0.002543 0.002976 0.003564 0.004374 0.005661
2025-02-16 0.001867 0.002148 0.002500 0.002988 0.003681 0.004695 0.006458
2025-02-23 0.001829 0.002133 0.002524 0.003087 0.003928 0.005248 0.007826
2025-03-02 0.001745 0.002053 0.002454 0.003044 0.003954 0.005455 0.008639
2025-03-09 0.001661 0.001965 0.002367 0.002968 0.003917 0.005540 0.009235
2025-03-16 0.001631 0.001947 0.002372 0.003026 0.004100 0.006057 0.011118
2025-03-23 0.001600 0.001926 0.002372 0.003074 0.004270 0.006591 0.013502
2025-03-30 0.001549 0.001874 0.002322 0.003040 0.004292 0.006825 0.015193
2025-04-06 0.001483 0.001798 0.002235 0.002939 0.004181 0.006745 0.015670
2025-04-13 0.001442 0.001758 0.002202 0.002929 0.004249 0.007123 0.018756
2025-04-20 0.001357 0.001654 0.002070 0.002751 0.003984 0.006653 0.017293
2025-04-27 0.001331 0.001632 0.002060 0.002772 0.004103 0.007168 0.022051
2025-05-04 0.001322 0.001632 0.002082 0.002849 0.004346 0.008105 0.034065
2025-05-11 0.001296 0.001609 0.002066 0.002860 0.004454 0.008721 0.050056
2025-05-18 0.001291 0.001615 0.002096 0.002952 0.004753 0.010126 0.146887
2025-05-25 0.001258 0.001577 0.002054 0.002912 0.004749 0.010463 0.332643
2025-06-01 0.001219 0.001531 0.001998 0.002841 0.004662 0.010450 0.714885
2025-06-08 0.001209 0.001527 0.002008 0.002895 0.004884 0.011868 NaN
2025-06-15 0.001198 0.001520 0.002013 0.002939 0.005090 0.013455 NaN
2025-06-22 0.001172 0.001490 0.001981 0.002908 0.005095 0.014022 NaN